It’s a quiet start to the week with mortgage rates holding steady. That could be a trend that persists for the remainder of the week as there’s really not much scheduled on the economic calendar this week.
Thursday and Friday are the only days where we really have some inflation data out that could impact rates. Read on for more details.
Where are mortgage rates going?
Rates start the week flat
After a weaker than expected July monthly jobs report on Friday, we saw financial market participants move out of stocks and into bonds, pushing long-term Treasury yields lower.
Mortgage rates typically move in the same direction as the 10-year yield, so rates drifted a little lower as we stepped into the weekend. The week after a monthly jobs report is historically a slow one and that’s really what the economic calendar points to.
There’s not a whole lot of economic data out, which means the market could be more easily influenced by political and overseas events. If nothing happens on those fronts, we could be in for a boring week with mortgage rates holding steady.
Of course, even in the so-called “stormy week” last week, we didn’t see mortgage rates stray too far from where they’ve been the past couple months.
The writing on the wall has been for rates to increase over the coming weeks and months, but while they did hit a seven-year high in the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) last Thursday, the ascent has so far been made up of little baby-steps.
The Consumer Price Index reading for July on Friday will be the most closely watched economic event. Depending on what happens with that reading we could see mortgage rates move slightly up or down.
Lock now before move even higher
Mortgage rates are on track to steadily rise in the coming months as the Federal Reserve gets ready to raise the nation’s benchmark interest rate at least one more time this year.
If you’re planning on buying a home or refinancing your current mortgage, we strongly recommend that you take action sooner rather than later. The longer you wait, the more likely it is that you’ll be locking in a higher rate on your loan.
Today’s economic data:
- There are no significant economic reports out today.
Notable events this week:
- EIA Petroleum Status Report
- 10-Yr Note Auction
- Jobless Claims
- Consumer Price Index