1. Today’s Housing Market: Rent vs. Own

    By on July 30, 2010

    Now That's American!

    As American as baseball and apple pie, realizing the American dream has always been associated with homeownership. In the second quarter of 2010, however, the number of homeowners realizing the American dream has dipped to the lowest level since 1999. According to a recent report by the U.S. Census Bureau, the rate of homeownership in the United States was just under 67 percent for the second quarter of 2010. According to the same report for the first quarter of the year, the homeownership rate was just over 67 percent. Unfortunately, homeownership figures continue to decline.

    The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure for the housing market in the United States, reported Tuesday that home prices actually rose in May by 1.3 percent when compared to April. If home prices continue to rise, then it seems inevitable that the homeownership rate in the third quarter will continue to decline, forcing millions of Americans to rent rather than own.

    The current housing price increases are sort of Catch 22. As housing prices and home values increase, the housing market heals. However, the rise in housing prices, coupled with the uncertainty surrounding the unemployment rate while our economy remains relatively unstable, will force prospective homeowners to remain as renters, preventing further healing within the housing market.

    There is no disputing the fact that houses are no longer the investment vehicle they once were during the most-recent housing boom that resulted in today’s housing crisis. While homeowners used their properties as personal piggy banks, the economic collapse materialized. As unemployment rates continued to soar, combined with a drastic decline in property values, homeowners began to lose their homes in droves.

    With millions of foreclosure properties remaining empty across the country, housing prices are on the rise nonetheless. While historically low mortgage rates remain in place as housing prices continue to rise, the time for prospective homeowners to realize the American dream may be passing.

    One of two things needs to happen in order for the housing market to fully mend. Housing prices need to either level off or decline again, thus allowing potential homeowners to delve into homeownership, or the federal government needs to offset the housing price increases by offering further support to potential homeowners in the form of additional tax credits as an incentive to purchase homes. It clearly worked before. When the latest tax credits expired, purchases immediately began to decline to a virtual standstill.

    When rates finally do begin to rise, it will be interesting to see where the housing market turns.

    Robert Hyder

    Category: Mortgage Rate Trends and Analysis
  2. Mortgage Rates Affected by Unemployment Numbers

    By on April 2, 2010

    Unemployment Numbers Affecting Mortgage Rates

    As expected, the good news on the job front signified bad news for mortgage rates. The U.S. Department of Labor released its monthly report this morning and it reflected economic growth to the tune of 162,000 jobs. Compared to February’s results in which 14,000 jobs were lost, this month’s results reflect the largest gain in jobs in three years. Some analysts predicted anywhere from 184,000 to 200,000 job creations, so the number is nevertheless smaller than originally anticipated. Although, approximately one-third of the jobs indicated in today’s report are temporary positions, most of which are with the U.S. Census Bureau.

    Ultimately, the report triggered Treasury prices to fall, which caused mortgage rates to rise. When Treasury prices fall, there’s less demand, and mortgage rates increase. Conversely, when Treasury prices rise, there’s more demand and mortgage rates go down. If there is a silver lining to the rise in mortgage rates today, the bond market will close at 12:00 p.m. (EDT) in observance of Good Friday, so mortgage rates should remain flat until at least Monday morning when the market reopens for business.

    Robert Hyder

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    Category: Mortgage Rates

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