This is not the first time we have discussed the differences between the Canadian and U.S. housing markets, but it is something that probably bears revisiting. For all the similarity between our countries, Canada never experienced the housing bubble that we did in the U.S., nor have they suffered the from its devastating aftermath. There are a variety of reasons for this, many of which are explored in an excellent article on McClatchy today by Kevin Hall that discusses some of the policies that allowed Canada to survive the bubble relatively unscathed.
From the article:
“One in 4 U.S. homes is thought to be worth less that the mortgage being paid on it. One in every 492 U.S. homes received a foreclosure notice in November. For the fourth year running, analysts are speculating on where the bottom is for U.S. real estate. No such worries up here in Canada — yet its system of mortgage finance gets little attention in the U.S. Not a single Canadian bank failed during the Great Depression, and not a single one failed during the recent U.S. crisis now dubbed the Great Recession. Fewer than 1 percent of all Canadian mortgages are in arrears.”
Finally, Canada’s mortgages are recourse loans. This means that if a Canadian borrower defaults on their mortgage debt, they cannot give the house back to the bank and walk away from the debt, as Americans in many states can. Canadians are still responsible for whatever debt remains on their mortgage after the proceeds of a foreclosure sale are applied. This gives Canadian borrowers even more incentive to stay current on payments. Do you think the Canadian model would work in the United States? Let me know in the comments section below.


Nick
January 13, 2011 @ 7:29 pm
US home loans are recourse. It’s up to lenders to sue borrowers for post foreclosure deficiancies.
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Michael Kraus Reply:
January 14th, 2011 at 8:59 am
This is true, 12 states are non-recourse states, 6 are one-action states, and the rest are recourse states. I should’ve made that more clear in the article.
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Mike Litoris
January 14, 2011 @ 2:11 am
“How Did Canada Avoid the Foreclosure Crisis?”
You forgot to add, “…for NOW?”.
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Michael Kraus Reply:
January 14th, 2011 at 9:07 am
It is true that some people in Canada are concerned about a potential bubble. In doing research for this article I found opinions on both sides.
Here are two articles from Business Insider that argue there is a housing bubble in Canada:
http://www.businessinsider.com/canadian-housing-prices-fall-for-first-time-in-13-months-2010-9
http://www.businessinsider.com/canada-debt-bubble-2011-1
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CarltonD Reply:
January 14th, 2011 at 3:21 pm
Mike…you are spot on. There are 2 very big elepahants in the room that most people ignore. 1. Employment rate:theses have a direct impact on bursting bubbles. Plentyof people struggled and payed a mortgage when they had a job. Also jjumbo size mortgages generally need 2 salaries to make it. Canada has a lot of people in this territory..so wait and see. 2.Canadians also have huge hoousehold debt. The ratio of houshold debt to income is 1.48 more than the US.. so not out of the woods yet.
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pat b Reply:
January 19th, 2011 at 2:06 am
Anyone who has played Crack Shack or Mansion will disagree
what should be normality in vancouver real estate.
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Anon
January 14, 2011 @ 12:05 pm
This seems like a circular argument, imho.
Canada did’t have a lot of foreclosures because house prices didn’t go down.
House prices didn’t go down because the Canadian was one of the shallowest in the G-20.
The answer to why the recession was shallow is less obvious. Dominant theory appears to be commodity exporters have been able to compensate for losses in other sectors with export gains to China (aka. Canada and Australia).
Another possibility is simple timing luck – with the US having to deal with the housing problem, it gave Canadian policy makers ample time to observe what was happening south of the border and learn from US policy action to come up with a timely solution of their own.
I personally don’t think the structure of the mortgages is the determinant factor in why house prices didn’t fall.
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Jus7tme
January 14, 2011 @ 12:15 pm
Canada has monster housing bubble going on. I think it is much too early to declare that there will be no downturn in the housing market,
Even all the tar sands in Alberta cannot prevent the bubble from bursting at least in the rest of the country, and energy prices is the only factor keeping the party going.
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Richard T.
January 14, 2011 @ 4:00 pm
Canada does indeed have massive subprime borrowing. They are able to deny this only because they never used the word “subprime” in their rating classifications.
If we accept the layman’s understanding of the term “subprime” to mean “large, no-money-down mortgages given to people who are already strung out on credit”, then Canada has doled out subprime mortgages by the shovelful.
Canada’s banks have been willing to provide these crap loans because the federal government stands behind the loans. Just like in the US, the risk has been passed to the taxpayers while the profits are kept by the politically-connected players in the financial industry.
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Adam Reply:
January 17th, 2011 at 5:30 pm
Canada abolished the 0% down over 3 years ago. Where are you getting your information from? It sounds more like an opinion than actual facts.
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Paul Canadian Expat
January 15, 2011 @ 1:24 am
Canada’s current bubble (yes, it is definitely a bubble) will burst sometime mid to late 2011. The salaries do not justify what people are paying for homes. Prices will come down 30 percent MINIMUM.
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Peter
January 15, 2011 @ 12:42 pm
canada, i’m canadian and lived in the usa during the housing bubble and crash…now i’m back in canada and it looks all the same to me. A lot of complacency, mortgages that people can just barely afford. It’s all ok now because interest rates are abnormally low but wait a year or two…inflation is coming this year to a town near you and with that interest rates are going sky high…as rates start to adjust here in canada you’ll see a lot of derfauls and job losses…also we live in a diferent world up here in canada…we are a commodity country and are doing well mainly because of the ongoing china effect…when china begins to correct you’ll see canada and australia go down with it along with higher interest rates and you’ll get a double wammy…i remember in the us before the crash people were saying house prices would never go down…its the same here in canada right now…buy gold and run for cover.
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Richard T. Reply:
January 17th, 2011 at 4:04 pm
You mention China, and that’s an important factor for Canada. Just yesterday I read in the financial press that a couple of investment houses are setting up funds to allow investors to short China. The houses figure that, during the next couple of years, we’ll see the SHTF in China’s pseudo-economy and commodity prices will drop accordingly.
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Jack B
January 17, 2011 @ 8:31 am
Canada is just slower and a little dumber. 2011 will be the year the housing market loses it. The feds leaked that mortgage amort is now only to 30 years and to get mortgage insured through CMHC a higher down payment.
Houses in Canada are more expensive than they were at the peak in the US and the debt being carried is just as bad. So expect the Canadian sequel to happen and it will have more bangs than the states. Also the major banks have a lot less competition so when the mortgages sour, it won’t be little guys falling on their swords but massive institutions. bigger but definitely not any better.
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Freehold Townhouses
April 13, 2011 @ 5:39 am
How’d Canada avoid all that?
“This sounds very simple, but one of our CEOs has said we are in the business of making loans to people who will pay them back,” said Terry Campbell, vice president of policy for the Canadian Bankers Association in Ottawa.
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Real Estate Valley
November 12, 2011 @ 2:43 pm
Canada isn’t free and safe. Rising unemployment, 5% down homeowners and a reduction in real average salary takes a toll on anyone. Home prices have been down since the peak in June 2011.
Since this peak was largely based on speculation and foreign investment, the prices need to correct at some point. Which is great for the average homebuyer getting into the market if they are patient.
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